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Evolution 19 - 20 - 21 February 2011 Analysis and evolution

Good evening everyone!

I apologize for the few updates the last week due to the overlapping of various commitments and irrevocable.

On the Mediterranean, after a long hibernation to weather conditions have returned to visit the disruption with a capital P. It began in recent days with a first trough from the west, which brought a lot of snow in the Apennines at altitudes medium-high, but also in the Alps and some lowland areas in the far northwest. In addition to rain and snow, he returned to visit us, the wind, which has finally alleviated the unbearable levels di inquinamento atmosferico sulle grandi città del settentrione, ed ha anche tolto un po' di ruggine alle braccia di molti surfisti. Mareggiate di qualità hanno fatto visita in costa ovest, specialmente sulla Sardegna, paradiso surf del Mediterraneo, ma anche per il lago Adriatico si è spezzato l'incantesimo. Proprio in questi giorni sono uscite notizie di ingegneri che hanno inventato la macchina delle onde perfette, applicabili a qualsiasi specchio d'acqua, così forse l'Adriatico, sentitosi ferito nell'orgoglio, ha deciso di riscattarsi producendo una scaduta da scirocco niente male (come mostrano le due istantanee web-cam riportate in fondo al post).

Tornando al presente, l'elemento meteorologico che attira l'attenzione today is that full-fledged cyclone Mediterranean who managed to widen up to 995 hPa the Ionian Sea.

This top position of potential energy, kinetic energy is dissipating pouring exceptionally powerful (in the form of wind) on the seas off the coast of Sicily and Calabria. Powerful storms are hitting the coast of Calabria and Puglia, but what makes the most impression is the swell that hit Greece last night!
The two leading marine-weather models, that is Kassandra and Lamma, are compared here, just to show the full scale of storm surge caused by the exceptional power of the next few hours. Estimated to reach 22 LaMMa onde fino a 8 m a largo dello Jonio, mentre per le 4 am di domani Kassandra arriva a stimare onde fino a 6 m da ponente per le coste delle Grecia.
Difficilmente si raggiungeranno tali misure, considerando la difficoltà interpretativa di questi modelli per situazioni estreme, tuttavia è facile pensare a set fino a 4-5 m per le zone esposte della Grecia, per la gioia dei big wave rider della zona (sempre se ce ne sono).

Nei prossimi giorni, dopo una breve pausa domani, tornerà una perturbazione domenica, il cui minimo, nello spostarsi verso sud, aspirerà venti freddi nord-orientali sull'Italia, che entreranno sull'Adriatico a partire da Lunedì. Freddo e neve a quote basse in Appennino quindi, e onde gelide lungo le coste Adriatiche, meno fredde e di maggior qualità invece per Sardegna e Sicilia, mentre le coste esposte a s-w resteranno sottovento.

SINTESI METEO

Sabato 19: Giornata in prevalenza soleggiata. Dal pomeriggio tendono ad aumentare le nubi al nord-ovest ma senza conseguenze. Decisamente ventoso al centro e al sud per venti settentrionali con mari molto mossi.

Domenica 20: Nubi in rapido aumento su tutte le regioni, con piogge sparse al nord, al centro e sulla Sardegna. Deboli nevicate in montagna tra 800 e 1000 metri. Temperature massime in calo.

Lunedì 21: Schiarite al nord-ovest e sulle regioni del medio-alto Tirreno. Cieli ancora nuvolosi altrove con precipitazioni sparse, nevose sull'Appennino centrale intorno a 1000 metri, su quello meridionale fin verso i 1300 metri, in Calabria e Sicilia oltre i 1500 metri. Maestrale in Sardegna.

PREVISIONI SURF


Mar Ligure

Sabato 19: Mari poco mossi al mattino, tendenti a calmarsi col passare delle ore.

Domenica 20: Mari generalmente calmi o poco mossi, con venti da s-e in intensificazione nel pomeriggio.

Lunedì 21: Mari calmi ovunque, con venti moderati da terra sul settore di levante.

Isole Maggiori

Sabato 19: Sulla Western Sardinia in order expired, not quality because of wind thesis coast, with the measure 1.5 m in the morning, up to 0.8-1 m in the afternoon. NW swell active in Sicily, with strong winds until evening, and measure about 2.5 m in the north coast (am) declined up to 2 m (afternoon), and 2 m with side-offshore winds in the south- west (morning), down to 1.5 m + in the afternoon.

Sunday 20: the morning, on the western Sardinia, up from SW waves, especially in sw coast, with winds on the rise coast. Measure from 0.8-1 m to 1.3-1.5 in the afternoon, when it enters the mistral wind to spoil the quality. On Sicily, breaking waves from the west in expired varying degrees between 0.5 m and 1 m, depending on the exposure of the coastline, with light winds. In the afternoon the winds increase from the west coast, but the response of the wave come too late.

Monday 21: the morning, the waves from NW Sardinia on 1.5 m, with moderate winds, strong recovery in the afternoon, when the measure will start to grow. Sicily from W-NW swell with winds moderate to strong, and measure the 1.5-1.8 m; winds down slightly in the afternoon, when the quality of the waves will increase everywhere.

Tyrrhenian Sea

Saturday 19: On the central-northern seas just moved, leaving refracted waves from the NW to the south, with winds not too strong inshore, surfabili on Campania and Calabria, with size from 0.5 to 1 m on the first, up to 1.5 m + on the second.

Sunday 20: Morning small waves breaking over Calabria, wind, and measurements of the 0.5-0.8m. Resumes jugo anywhere from late morning-early afternoon, with possible small waves (0.5 m) before it gets on the central and northern areas.

Monday 21: On the central and southern areas, waves up to 1.5-2 m in the morning, a slight decrease in the afternoon, the winds along the coast. Calo stronger going up north, when you pass a little rough sea before lunch, saw the rapid entry of land winds. On the northern sectors, can only 0.8-1 m in the early morning of quality, but the rapidly expired.

Ionian

Saturday 19: After the big swell of the night, the wind comes rushing by land before dawn, and the waves refracted by SW, which initially will be close to 1.5-2 m, will tend to expire quickly, with little wavy sea crossing in the afternoon.

Sunday 20: calm seas or smooth.

Monday 21: Morning seas just moved anywhere, but with waves rising from SW from high southern Calabria and Puglia, with little waves as possible in the afternoon (0.5-0.8 m). Moderate.

Adriatic Sea

Saturday 19: the morning, on the northern Marche and Romagna possible low 0.5 m NE, with light winds, moderate, down by early afternoon. Swell from the north to the south, closer towards the south, with waves about 1-1.3 m in Abruzzo and Molise, and up to 1.5 m + on Puglia. High winds, slight drop in the evening.

Sunday 20: possible in the morning last 0.5-0.8 m from the northern Apulia, but rapidly expired. Calm seas or just moved elsewhere.

Monday 21: Morning small waves (0.5 m) possible from the East originally northern Adriatic, turning NE and increase the hours passed. In the afternoon swell active NE from Romagna Abruzzo, with waves of about 0.8-1 m, on the rise. High winds.

Here are two snapshots of Thursday morning, taken by the web-cam overlooking two very famous and very crowded spot in spring-summer ..... Who was he enjoyed a glassy expired about 1 m away from the hectic life, away from the tension that you breathe only when the waves are scarce and the heat suffocates us in the bare metal ...

the next update!

good wee-end!